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Vol. I · April 2026

AI Service Desk ROI Calculator

3-Year Savings at Real Deflection Rates

Inputs

50,000

HDI: typical enterprise range 10K-500K/yr

$22

HDI/MetricNet: $6-$40+ North America. Default $22 (midpoint)

40%

Gartner best-in-class: 40-60%. Default 40%

$200K

Default $200K (Moveworks/Aisera mid-range)

$75K

Default $75K (mid-market). Enterprise: $300K+

3-Year Projection

Year 1 net (incl. implementation)$0
Year 2 net$0
Year 3 net$0
3-Year cumulative$0
Estimated payback periodMonth 0
Annual tickets deflected20,000
Annual gross saving$440K/yr
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3-Year Sensitivity Table

Using your ticket volume (50,000) and cost-per-ticket ($22). License at $200K/yr, implementation at $75K.

DeflectionAnnual Saving3-Year NetPayback
25%$275K/yr$150KMonth 12
40%$440K/yr$645KMonth 4
55%$605K/yr$1.14MMonth 3
65%$715K/yr$1.47MMonth 2
source:HDI/MetricNet cost-per-ticket benchmarks. Gartner deflection baselines. License at $200K/yr, implementation at $75K illustrative.
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Worked Examples

500-employee org
Freshservice Enterprise
Annual tickets15,000
Cost/ticket$18
Target deflection40%
Annual license$65K
3-Year net$104K
2,000-employee org
Atlassian JSM Premium
Annual tickets60,000
Cost/ticket$22
Target deflection45%
Annual license$160K
3-Year net$1.25M
10,000-employee org
Aisera
Annual tickets300,000
Cost/ticket$22
Target deflection55%
Annual license$400K
3-Year net$9.49M
50,000-employee org
ServiceNow Now Assist
Annual tickets1,500,000
Cost/ticket$20
Target deflection50%
Annual license$2.00M
3-Year net$38.50M
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Methodology and Caveats

Cost-per-ticket: HDI/MetricNet 2024 benchmarks put fully-loaded cost-per-ticket at $6-$40+ in North American enterprises. The $22 default is the midpoint for internal IT organisations. Tier 1 (L1 only) organisations may be lower ($12-$18); organisations counting management overhead and tooling may be higher ($28-$40).

Deflection rate: the calculator uses the gross deflection rate (tickets avoided entirely). Gartner best-in-class is 40-60% for mature deployments. Year-one deployments typically achieve 20-35%. The calculator assumes steady-state deflection, which typically takes 12-18 months to reach.

What this calculator does not capture: change management cost (typically 15% of implementation budget; programmes that underinvest see 50% lower adoption), agent-headcount reallocation lag (agents do not disappear when deflection improves; headcount flattens over 2-3 hiring cycles), and KB governance investment (the upfront work that determines whether deflection reaches 40% or 60%). These factors typically make year-one economics look worse and year-three economics look better than this model shows.

Updated 2026-04-27